Fake Tipster
There is a widespread phenomenon on social networks, especially on Instagram and Telegram, with many tipsters sharing their predictions for free. This aspect is being talked about in an increasingly serious way, to the point of even bothering the BBC which has dedicated a mini-investigation to the rampant phenomenon. But on Facebook and Instagram there is now a proliferation of alleged betting gurus who present themselves with extraordinary (but in most cases unverifiable) results. Be very careful.
There is talk of “tens of thousands of people who are following tipsters on social media with free predictions”.
Often these betting gurus, next to their prediction, in the post on Instagram or Facebook, also publish a link to open an account. However, you need to know how the betting affiliate market works to understand that there is a major conflict of interest.
Compared to poker and betting exchanges where the platforms are only interested in gaming volumes (since the room earns with the rake regardless of who wins or loses), in betting the bookies recognize a percentage only on the bank’s profits, i.e. on the losses of affiliated bettors.
If a bettor loses €100, 30% goes to the affiliate tipster. If the bettor wins €100, the affiliate tipster earns nothing. The tipsters who give away free signals and offer affiliations are in a clear conflict of interest and have every interest in losing their followers. Chris Meredith, head of Casual Gambler, told the BBC that “half of online tipsters are affiliated with a betting company”. If the Referrer makes his followers win, as mentioned, those winnings will be deducted from the affiliate account with the bookmaker and he will not get commissions until the losses exceed the winnings.
Make money with your losing bets
Chris Meredith explains: “It seems a little strange that tipsters are giving financial advice to people who have to lose in order for them to gain, but this is what they are actually doing. In the long run they really want to lose subscribers from their links, there is no other solution”.
On the BBC, Charlie, a 19-year-old tipster, said he has over 70,000 Twitter followers and complained: “I’ve seen great tipsters encourage their users to reinvest their winnings over and over and then intentionally lose their last round of bets to make their losses greater than their winnings. This way they can earn. The worst part is that people don’t realize it and continue to follow that person as if they were credible and they don’t check “.
How to choose a good tipster ?
If you are a bettor who knows about predictions, however, you will find that the most famous tipsters, those with numerous followers, are only very good. Not only do they make money on their bets but they also get a return on random players who sign up with affiliate tipster links.
So I recommend following these tipsters but not to the letter. If they don’t have to show you a history of earnings obtained from bets, it is better to avoid them.
The multiple picks are really hard to win. The tipsters advertise themselves by passing off these won slips as frequent wins. In reality, they win at most two or three a year and a few lucky followers will be able to benefit from them. All others are revenue and affiliate earnings.
So how to recognize a fake?
Check if he has a good following and if the followers are real people.
However large number of followers does not always coincide with a good tipster.
If the tipster bets single by following a money management strategy then he is the right tipster to choose. If you can contact him privately, even better.
You can check if they offer subscriptions without registering with a bookmaker. But it is still not said. Affiliate affiliation is a benefit to a tipster but it doesn’t always mean he wants you to lose. Affiliate programs can be different for tipsters. If one signs up he can earn a fixed amount for each CPA customer. Or a Revenue. If you follow the tipsters with every bet you will surely go positive like them and they certainly won’t earn anything with the Revenue.
Tips to find fake Tipster
In simple word, a fake tipster looks very good. It is full of affiliate links that if you don’t click you can’t see the published bet.
If a bet is not successful, it will be deleted from the history.
It is impossible to contact him in any way.
Other things that might dictate suspicions are:
Today the tipster publishes a post where he says he won €180 by betting €100 at odds of 1.8.
Tomorrow he loses €100 with another bet.
Not only does he say he has lost but he subtracts them from the €180 saying he is still in the black by €80.
Be very wary of those who only offer multiples with progressions created specifically to make you increase the stakes with each lost bet. Also be wary of those who offer you doubling bets.
Simply put, a fake tipster looks very good. It is full of affiliate links that if you don’t click you can’t see the published bet.
If a bet is not successful, it will be deleted from the history.
It is impossible to contact him in any way.
Other things that might dictate suspicions are:
Today the tipster publishes a post where he says he won €180 by betting €100 at odds of 1.8.
Tomorrow he loses €100 with another bet.
Not only does he say he has lost but he subtracts them from the €180 saying he is still in the black by €80.
Be very wary of those who only offer multiples with progressions created specifically to make you increase the stakes with each lost bet. Also be wary of those who offer you doubling bets.
Each tipster has a free channel and a private channel. To enter private you must register with a bookmaker.
